By Justin Taylor
I have three torturous pastimes in the month of June each year. Watching teams other then my own in the playoffs, reading ridiculous mock drafts and hysterically bad trade scenarios. I wish I had a life so I could just brush off 90% of the crap proposed on fan sites (like this one) and reputable news columns alike. If I alotted this much energy, focus and time trying to get ahead at work I’d be in line for a major promotion; but I don’t so I’m not. It is such a waste of time in most cases but there is no denying that the NBA silly season makes for great conversation. The fact is a majority of these trades wouldn’t happen on a cold day in hell unless David Kahn, Chris Wallace or Billy King were the ones fielding the offers.
I can’t remember the last time there were so many trade possibilities here in the Bay. This year the deals coming out of the Golden State Rumor Mill are more full of shit than a toilet at the Staples Center. Why spend time reading and talking about a trade for Nicolas Batum when his restricted status makes it fiscally impossible. It’s been fun to take part in the madness but more and more the realization is that our tradable assets outside of the picks aren’t worth the paper their contracts are printed on. For the Warriors to match up the money for a marquee player some combination of Richard Jefferson, Andris Biedrins and Dorrell Wright will need to be included the deal. For some reason I don’t see many teams jumping at those names in order to get the number seven pick in the draft. Having a direct line from Jerry West to Chris Wallace in Memphis might help us instead of the Lakers this time around but I don’t think it will matter.
I’ve gone ahead made a few proposals of my own and outlined a few that everyone has already heard in some form. I also went ahead and gave each one a short and long term grade of sorts that you can agree with or rip to shreds; this is the internet after all.
Who's ready to go all in for the next 3 years and beyond?
Andris Biedrins, Dorrell Wright, and maybe Jeremy Tyler plus pick #7 To Memphis for Rudy Gay
A line up of Gay, Lee and Bogut up front with Curry and Thompson in the backcourt is about as balanced as an NBA roster gets. The can shoot; they can defend; they can rebound. So what’s not to like you ask? It depends on how excited you are to pay Lee and Gay $35 million of your sub $60 million dollar salary cap in 2014. Paying over half of your budget to an aging David Lee (31 in 2014-15) and an aged beyond his years Rudy Gay (29) is not quite the same as committing $37 million to Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook who will both be 26 in the 2014-15 season. Once you give a generous number to Stephen Curry and a resigned Andrew Bogut (call it $25 million combined) along with the final years of Thompson’s rookie deal (approx. $5 million) you’re capped out before you remember there are more than five guys on a team. I can see Memphis accepting this trade for the same reasons I don’t want the Warriors to offer it.
Short Term Prognosis: We’d have a fun team and would be no less then a fifth or sixth seed immediately. Whatever happens this season would be the norm for the next two or three because the line up will barely change.
Long Term Prognosis: Trapped in Golden State. Having no flexibility to continue adding to the bench let alone the core will not be pretty after 2 or three years. If it doesn’t turn us into instant contenders it will turn us into the most cash strapped mediocre team in the league for years to come.
Igoudala is a smaller long term risk with more upside for the team
Andris Biedrins, Dorrell Wright, Jeremy Tyler plus picks #7 and #30 for Andre Igoudala and pick #45
As much as we hear that Philly wants to cut costs I can’t for life of me figure out why they’d partner with the Warriors to do it. It’s basically a matter of adding the 7th pick and some second rate depth while saving about $6 million dollars. The problem with these deals is that the only way Golden State can get the money to match is to include Biedrins or Dick Jefferson; if Jefferson were included instead of Goose the Sixers would clear a whopping $2 million before signing the pick. Are the Sixers that deep of a team that they can’t find a way to get Iggy and Evan Turner on the floor at the same time? Are they really better off with Turner, an unproven rookie and a 26-year-old flame out in Biedrins?
Short Term Prognosis: I would absolutely love having AI at the three. He brings athleticism, intensity, defense, rebounding, he’s in his prime and he’s not overpaid! How many examples like that are there in the league?
Long Term Prognosis: I see this working out great over the next three years. After that his contract is up and the direction of the team will determine how we move forward. I really don’t see the downside if Philly is dumb enough to give us their best player for Biedrins and a rookie.
Andray Blatche knows how to stink up the joint. Ask Dominic McGuire.
Dorrell Wright and Jeremy Tyler plus picks #7 and #35 to the Wizards for Pick #3 and Andray Blatche
Sometimes you’ve got to give and take to take. Blatche is owed almost $25 million over the next 3 years and is probably one of the top 5 boneheads in the game right now. On the young Wizards he’s an all out cancer but what is he when you’ve got character guys and a preacher for a coach surrounding him? He would be a reclamation project that Mark Jackson could really hang his hat on. Make no mistake though, he will be a Warrior for the duration of his contract, Washington has damn near been trying to give him away since the day after he signed that ridiculous contract. If you end up with Thomas Robinson no one will remember Jeremy Tyler’s name and if you get MKG at #3 along with Kevin Jones, Festus Ezeli, Draymond Green, Fab Melo or Drew Gordon at #30 it won’t be much different. The biggest drawback to this deal would be the fact that our cap takes a hit over the next few years but you’ll be adding a potential all star at best and quality depth at worst.
Short Term Prognosis: This trade would allow the team to continue building without mortgaging the future completely. On a team with such a high basketball IQ Blatche’s brain freezes may not be a big deal.
Long Term Prognosis: Blatche’s contract is way bigger than it should be but it isn’t a back breaker. If the right pieces are added with this year’s picks we could be set to improve dramatically over the next three years and start contending for consistently deep playoff runs after one more year spent developing the youngsters.
#7 and #30 picks to Houston for picks #14 and #16
Personally I’d rather just use the 7th pick on Dion Waiters or a falling Bradley Beal who inexplicably is projecting to the Warriors on NBADraft.net. If neither of those guys are around at seven I wonder if Houston has someone they’d like to move up for. In this scenario you could probably get a Terrance Jones, PJIII or point guard Kendall Marshall since one will be dropping and a big man like Meyers Leonard, Arnett Moultrie or John Henson. In this case we also keep pick #35 where we could potentially land the sinker of the bunch out of Kevin Jones, Royce White, Festus Ezeli or Andrew Nicholson.
Short Term Prognosis: When you’re talking about pick for pick it’s hard to say what we’re getting with any kind of certainty. In this draft I’m really not sure how much more valuable the 7th pick is over the 14th or even how much the 16th pick is worth over the 30th.
Long Term Prognosis: No more Trapped then we are right now or would be otherwise. Depending on whom you get with the 16th pick it could be a wash or a disaster if the 7th pick hits big. It pretty much falls in line with my overall sentiment below, accumulate assets and get ready to swing for the fences at the deadline.
Dorrell Wright and picks #7 and #35 to Milwaukee for Luc Mbah a Moute and pick #11
Here is a smaller deal if management doesn’t think they can hold onto Dominic McGuire. I actually think the Mbah Moute would be an upgrade because you get a little bit of offense along with the guy you stick on opposing teams top scorer every night. You also get a guy with a superior work ethic who along with Lee will set a good example for the youngsters and whomever we get when we trade down a measly four spots. You may not even need to throw in the 35th pick to make it happen. If you haven’t noticed yet, I kind of want to get rid of Dorrell Wright. The only thing he can show the new guys is where he stands on offense, where he stands on defense and where he cashes his check on the first and fifteenth. His reasonable and expiring contract is the other part, the Warriors just don’t have much to offer that upgrades another team or trims their payroll outside of the picks.
Short Term Prognosis: I’m a fan of this deal and you could still end up with a Sullinger or a Jones (1 or 3) at #11 so it’s a low risk medium reward proposition.
Long Term Prognosis: Same as the short term. If you end up with one of the guys the Logo wanted at seven you basically just got a solid NBA player for a second round pick and a guy that seemed to be running from his shadow on the court all year.
After reviewing all of the prospects and available players I have no problem with the team using all of their picks or trading forward or back. Chasing a guy like Brandon Roy to fill some of the void at the three while accumulating assets to prepare for a midseason blockbuster trade is the best course of action. If we want to limit the risk of being Trapped in Golden State for too many more years we shouldn’t mortgage the future for anything less than a true game changer.